Those who see hope in the Middle East uprisings seem to assume that uprising will lead in the direction of freedom or democracy. There is a big talk of “liberation” of Egypt, even though the biggest change there has been that a one-man dictatorship has been replaced by a military dictatorship that has suspended the constitution.
Perhaps the military dictatorship will be temporary, as its leaders say, but people have heard that—- song before. What we have also heard, too many times before, is the assumption that getting rid of an undemocratic government means that it will be replaced by a freer and better government.
The bad regimes might be replaced by worse regimes. But one may wishfully assume that overthrowing a dictator means a movement toward freedom and democracy. The fact remains that Egyptians or others in the Middle East and elsewhere want freedom but this does not mean that they are also ready for freedom. That may be the firsthand dilemma of the Middle East.
There is quite a possibility that this movement of freedom may be hijacked; not by the usual suspects, the all time rival, old western oppressor nations but the local oppressor and autocrats that they have the wealth the authority and may not let this change happen the way the freedom enthusiasts want to happen. All of the dictators have decades old experience of subjugating the masses. After all those masses have stayed subjected to coercion and subjugation for so long; deprived, destitute and always looking towards the hand of their tyrant monarch to drop few bucks for them to live their lives.
In the face of all the winds of changes on the horizon even King of House of Saud very generously announced a grand 35 billion dollar grant for the needy as alms on his recovery of health. Once again it reminds the people that he still holds the fort of his autocracy. But— will the people knowing it to be such refuse to reject the enumeration that king wishes them to accept considering them as his subjects. The peoples who have suffered from the mortification of their dignity, self respect and humiliation for so long may not have left with the appetite of such an abrupt freedom; especially to rise against the totalitarian regime of Saudi king.
On the other hand the sudden eruption of movement of freedom and toppling of the western installed dictatorial regime, one after the other, is proved to be as the night mare for the west. It is a direct attack on the Neocons- world order. The change in status quo of western installed regimes is not desirable. In order to thwart the movement of freedom in the Middle East and harness the revolution— the Libyan turmoil is especially been manipulated to turn Libyan uprising into a civil war. Ghadafi defiance and his blunt moves to crush the uprising is serving as catalyst that on the pretext of preventing a catastrophe in the Libya; US as well as UK are seen all out to launch unilateral offensive against Ghadafi. This is a new play which comes to action. Execution of western operation and finally deposition of Ghadafi may be stretched long to divert the attention of masses and let the heat of freedom die down.
While the youth of Middle East using the mass mobilization tools of social net working as their weapon to bring about a real secular democratic change in the Middle East and they are looking beyond the dictatorial regimes. But they are still a leaderless mob; looking for some mystero to come and lead them. Whereas the dictatorial regimes still clinging on to power may be more than willing to abet and cooperate with the West to call back their past.